Russ Stephenson, LEED Accredited Urban Design Consultant and Architect (ret.), NC American Planning Association awards, Sierra Club Life Member, Raleigh Planning Commissioner, Raleigh City Councilor At-Large, GoTriangle Board Member, Livable Raleigh Advisory Committee

Russ delivered the following comments to the Planning Commission Committee of the Whole on November 29, 2023

Dear Planning Commissioners

Over the course of several PC-COW meetings related to the New Bern BRT corridor, you have referred to ‘BRT goals” and “corridor goals”, usually defined in terms of the benefits of adding density in the BRT corridor, especially as a supply-side tool for driving down housing costs. It is important to note that staff’s own reference to this ‘filtering’ effect concludes that it could take “decades” to be effective (Upjohn p.1), and then only in a market without strong in-migration (Upjohn p.2). In the meantime, the near-term loss of existing affordable housing in the corridor – resulting from the $97M BRT investment, combined with the proposed 744 parcel upzoning – will be immediate, but has not been quantified or even estimated by staff. 

At Council’s November 14 Worksession on Equitable Transit Oriented Development, staff noted that the adopted TOD overlay would create real incentives to rezone parcels from existing 3 story entitlements to 5 stories with an affordable housing density bonus, because it could be done economically within the 5 story code limit for wood frame construction. They noted that the economics of steel frame construction above 5 stories would eliminate the advantages of an affordable housing density bonus above five stories. This raises the obvious concern: For any parcel upzoned via Z-92-22 to 5 stories or more, the economic incentive for a developer to take advantage of an affordable unit height bonus is lost.  This concern was described at Livable Raleigh’s November 16 Public Forum on the New Bern BRT corridor.

Livable Raleigh’s November 16 Forum also included comments by long-time Chair of the Raleigh Transit Authority, Tolulope Omokaiye. Her comments about the city’s misplaced goals for BRT and the New Bern Corridor are summarized in 2-1/2 minutes here: https://youtu.be/6cc8LBJzaP4.

Livable Raleigh’s position is that while adding density along BRT corridors is a desirable goal, the impact of the $97M New Bern Avenue BRT project alone will create a tremendous incentive for dense organic redevelopment that also incentivizes economically viable affordable housing height bonuses up to 5 stories – and not above. The effect of the proposed 744 parcel upzoning, Z-92-22 (which ironically leaves out the zero-density Raleigh Country Club) will not only eliminate most opportunities to incentivize and negotiate affordable housing units, but will also accelerate the displacement of all low wealth and Black households in the corridor – in direct conflict with the city’s adopted ETOD vision to reverse displacement, as described in this slide from Council’s November 14 Worksession:

The New Bern BRT project will be a huge success, but only if you set aside Z-92-22 and its hugely destructive impact on equity and affordability in the New Bern Corridor.

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